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      04-10-2017, 02:02 PM   #45
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Originally Posted by Kstark46 View Post
Great thread and great info.

For those that mentioned real estate that is rented out, did you buy those properties purely based on a current positive cash flow every month or were other factors considered?

Also, as a landlord, do you do work/maintenance yourself or do you have a guy? (Sorry, I'm from NJ and everyone has "a guy")
Everyone I know does it with a positive cash flow. Also, most people don't pay tax on the rental income, as it can be offset by expenses, including depreciation expense.

You don't have to use "a guy". There are lots of property management companies. In NW, the rate is about $100/month.

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      04-10-2017, 02:09 PM   #46
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if i struggle to afford an M after retirement than I didn't work hard enough.
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      04-10-2017, 02:19 PM   #47
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if i struggle to afford an M after retirement than I didn't work hard enough.

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      04-10-2017, 02:30 PM   #48
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Granted, I'm leasing. Maybe I shouldn't be?
It's very easy to know this with FIRECalc: just decide what lifestyle you want, and when you no longer want to need a paycheck. It's only 3 simple numbers to input. FIRECalc will tell you how much you need by what date - if you're not on track to hit that number then, no, you shouldn't be wasting your money on a luxury like a car.

Where people get tripped up is they think they won't mind working forever - and if you're like me, somewhat delusional about your future:"I'm awesome - things will always be great for me!"

Now I'm jaded in my mid 40s and I've learned life isn't a meritocracy for if it were i'd be a king!

A KING i tell you!!
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He tries to draw people into inane arguments, some weird pastime of his.

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      04-10-2017, 02:39 PM   #49
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slightly off topic (but at the same time, not) i can't seem to find sound advice on what to do with the equity i have in two properties. ideally, i'd like to grow them into more investment properties but don't know when is the right time and how to go about it - heloc vs. refi and pull out to reinvest vs. sell etc...

property #1, my home
30yr fixed mortgage $2800/mo @ 3.75%
owe $440k, market value $670k

property #2, 4 unit income property
30yr fixed mortgage, $3800/mo mortgage @2.75%, net $1100/mo after all bills paid
owe $640k, market value $980k

any advice from you smart money fellas?

socal btw, pasadena home/rental property in inglewood (4 blocks south of new rams/chargers stadium)
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      04-10-2017, 03:05 PM   #50
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*smart
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      04-10-2017, 03:31 PM   #51
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There is a lot of great advice in this thread. It really emphasizes saving early, saving consistently, and setting a goal number for retirement. Though the methods will be different based on age groups as I doubt anyone under 40 can rely on soc. security or private pensions.

This is the type of information that should be mandatory starting in middle school (even elementary).

Also people should realize by the variety of responses, there are many options to reach that goal.

All investment vehicles have pluses and minuses, but understanding them as much as possible is key. People most often lose their shirt when they invest in things they don't understand or don't believe in.

Invictus is correct about who you deal with. Financial planners who are also fiduciaries are mandated to work in your best interests. Furthermore fee only fiduciary financial planners aren't beholden to selling certain assets via commissions. This is the best way to find someone who is in your corner. Even with that, it doesn't mean they know what they're doing and you could still lose money.

What I find sad is the lack of any real wage growth. It's very hard for most Americans to save in any reasonable way while still driving the consumer based economy that keeps the economy growing. That is the double edged sword. I remember after the financial crisis after the housing market collapsed the economy lagged because no one was spending. Everyone was just paying down debt. Bush had to give people money (stimulus) in an attempt to restart spending. Though the above is a macroeconomic problem and doesn't apply to an individuals situation.
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      04-10-2017, 04:39 PM   #52
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I understand the rationale for borrowing at rates lower than what your bond portfolio pays out, freeing up capital to invest.

But...keep in mind that below-market interested rates are essentially subsidized. You are, in effect, paying points to get that rate. Those points come out of your purchase price. Meaning the dealer probably has room to move down in price if you pay cash. In fact, I've always tried to use that as leverage in my negotiations.

But I have used non-mortgage debt as well when circumstances merit. For example, when we bought a Mazda 3 a couple of years ago, I borrowed about 60% of the purchase price and put my 20 year old daughter on the note as co-borrower. We paid it off after a year, and she got all the credit score points for having paid off a car loan. Well worth the interest we paid, especially since she plans to be a musician and will have, em, unpredictable income.
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      04-10-2017, 04:54 PM   #53
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Originally Posted by Domer88 View Post
I understand the rationale for borrowing at rates lower than what your bond portfolio pays out, freeing up capital to invest.

But...keep in mind that below-market interested rates are essentially subsidized. You are, in effect, paying points to get that rate. Those points come out of your purchase price. Meaning the dealer probably has room to move down in price if you pay cash. In fact, I've always tried to use that as leverage in my negotiations.
This is why I don't reveal my method of payment when negotiating a price. They always ask if I'm going to lease or finance and I sure enough always tell them I'm not sure yet.
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      04-10-2017, 05:00 PM   #54
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Great read and I might give up getting a new F80 afterall.

I am a little surprised only one person mentioned whole life insurance. Yes, it's not for everyone and it might perform no better than a bond. But the key is to use pay up additions to grow tax free and this can boost the cash value significantly in 10+ years time. I never analyze in details how much difference it would end up with compared to a bond fund, but just mentioning maybe someone finds it feasible.
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      04-10-2017, 05:23 PM   #55
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Originally Posted by GrussGott View Post
Pro Tip: Anybody who's in the market for an M car that ever thought social security would be enough for retirement is fucking nuts.
This is a significant factor many middle aged and younger people need to carefully consider because there is evidence many are fucking nuts...

Social security withholdings (doubled if you are a self employed idiot like me) may very well end up being nothing more than additional income tax paid over our lifetimes. Even if you get some payments, the chances are they will be much later in life after making many more contributions relative to benefits received than older generations.

Combined with the extinction of pensions and lifetime employment (except maybe for government employees but even those have started to reform in many cases), the change in social security expectations should indicate we shouldn't be looking to those who already retired for advice because the formula has changed dramatically. Middle aged and younger need to be saving substantially more than Boomers and the generation before Boomers. Don't read that as being critical of older generations or blaming them in any way - just pointing out it will be different for Gen X/Y and those that follow.
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      04-10-2017, 06:03 PM   #56
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Originally Posted by Agamemnon View Post
The key to wealth is "pay yourself first". Simply put a portion of your pay check aside towards your retirement future. Buy blue chip dividend paying stocks and specify a reinvestment of dividends into more shares. Time is your best friend so start early. Stick with your strategy, rebalance your portfolio as necessary. Don't panic in downturns, just buy more of the good stuff when it is cheap. Defer gratification but live reasonably well because you may not live to old age. So balance is important. Get professional advice from someone who has your interest at heart and not trying to meet some quotas of product. Paying for good advice is money well spent.
Whatever this man said are on point and reasonable.

Balance is the key to everything. Enjoy life a little once in a long while (to reward yourself), but not to spend 90% of your income and save only 10% every month and found yourself in tough situation when things go south.

Everyone has their own balance and there is no formula to this.

I view real estate as a stable income in the long run. Looking back at the history, housing is always in the + decades after decades. This may not be true to all cities across the nation, but generally real estate is a very stable product in the long term.

I am no expert and still figuring out what works and will work best for me. Money is never enough.
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      04-10-2017, 07:28 PM   #57
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Army, PhD, Post-Doc, college debt and under payed for first 6 years so very slow start and like many had minimal capacity to add much to savings (lack of compound kicked my butt for a long time ).

However made some critical career moves to leverage income and saved like a maniac rest of career to date (over last 17 years) along lines of GrussGott's strategy and now in a pretty good position with a plan to retire in 4 years at age 58 - a goal at least!

I am curious (and yes can research on net) as to what the target range is in total savings/retirement funds for people here at or about to retire - or even what your calculated/perceived goal would be? Maybe better to ask this in an anonymous poll - I ask as many of the estimations here speak only to assumed annual spending needs but don't necessarily account for major life events such as critical illness or long term care needs etc. so a buffer is a needed consideration along with other choices in calculating your goal. Care to share?
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      04-10-2017, 11:49 PM   #58
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Own your home so you don't have to pay rent during retirement.
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      04-11-2017, 12:10 AM   #59
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oreganoflow View Post
slightly off topic (but at the same time, not) i can't seem to find sound advice on what to do with the equity i have in two properties. ideally, i'd like to grow them into more investment properties but don't know when is the right time and how to go about it - heloc vs. refi and pull out to reinvest vs. sell etc...

property #1, my home
30yr fixed mortgage $2800/mo @ 3.75%
owe $440k, market value $670k

property #2, 4 unit income property
30yr fixed mortgage, $3800/mo mortgage @2.75%, net $1100/mo after all bills paid
owe $640k, market value $980k

any advice from you smart money fellas?

socal btw, pasadena home/rental property in inglewood (4 blocks south of new rams/chargers stadium)
That's a tough question. Pasadena and most cities in the so cal area are experiencing rapid increases in value over the last several years. Pasadena especially has seen some major changes, with a lot of flipping and gentrifying in the north 210 area. As well as, higher value areas (mansions) in the south experiencing large gains as well.

Basically your money would have been better spent leveraging on a flip than a rental over the past 3-4 years. That is because, while the rental prices have gone up significantly, they are being dwarfed by the values of the homes prices.

If you are looking leveraging your current holdings to acquire more long term investment properties, now is not the time to do it, imho. I am concerned the market is peaking and we are looking at a period of relative stagnation in the real estate market, due to incoming instability and the spread of income discrepancy, as well as the inability of our government to, well, govern. Real estate values could regress to the mean, or as it is already happening in higher end markets, start to go down as the avg list days are going up.

Consider that the upper real estate markets are slowing dramatically due to China govt policy changes as well as new curbs on visas and immigration crackdowns, and you could soon see that the movement of money reflecting the instability, and having negative rippling effects in areas that have experienced high growth in the last 5 years.
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      04-11-2017, 12:22 AM   #60
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dkhm3 View Post

Basically your money would have been better spent leveraging on a flip than a rental over the past 3-4 years. That is because, while the rental prices have gone up significantly, they are being dwarfed by the values of the homes prices.

If you are looking leveraging your current holdings to acquire more long term investment properties, now is not the time to do it, imho. I am concerned the market is peaking and we are looking at a period of relative stagnation in the real estate market, due to incoming instability and the spread of income discrepancy, as well as the inability of our government to, well, govern. Real estate values could regress to the mean, or as it is already happening in higher end markets, start to go down as the avg list days are going up.

What would this person do in this case? He is still netting $1100/mo holding onto his 2nd property. But you are saying that the market will stagnate. Does that mean that that rent rates will go down and he/she might have to lower the rent? Do you think housing prices will stagnate or drop in the next few years? Would it be worth it for this person to sell now while we are at a peak, or wait it out and hope the rent will still put them in the green? It feels like you are saying he/she should sell it now.
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      04-11-2017, 12:55 AM   #61
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What would this person do in this case? He is still netting $1100/mo holding onto his 2nd property. But you are saying that the market will stagnate. Does that mean that that rent rates will go down and he/she might have to lower the rent? Do you think housing prices will stagnate or drop in the next few years? Would it be worth it for this person to sell now while we are at a peak, or wait it out and hope the rent will still put them in the green? It feels like you are saying he/she should sell it now.
He asked if he should leverage his current assets to buy more property, I am saying he should wait. For sure, I do not recommend he sell any assets right now considering he has 2 properties that have a very very low fixed interest.

Assuming all other things remain constant, rental rates should continue to steadily rise in most areas that did not overbuild multi-unit apartments or have too many investor held properties (ahem nyc, central london). More people are renting longer and delaying buying due to reasons I have listed previously. The problem is buying a long term rental properties right now (socal) you have negative cap rates because values of property have dwarfed values in rent. example: in 2011 one property i bought for 235k rented for 1800/month, now it is 435k and rents for 2,100 a month. compare the slope of the value of the holding vs the increase in rent, if you were to buy now your cap rate would be negative. The good news for me is that BOTH my property appreciated and my rent increased thereby allowing me to gain in both cases.

Whether a person decides to sell now at the "peak" depends on where they are at their financial road. if you have equity in your property, you can leverage it to buy other properties- but then you also multiplied your risk as well. You certainly don't want to leverage yourself at a "peak" market.

And I certainly should not be telling anyone to sell or buy anything without knowing more about their finances and their financial plans or goals, much less do so on a car forum
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      04-11-2017, 02:37 AM   #62
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Quote:
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmg View Post
What would this person do in this case? He is still netting $1100/mo holding onto his 2nd property. But you are saying that the market will stagnate. Does that mean that that rent rates will go down and he/she might have to lower the rent? Do you think housing prices will stagnate or drop in the next few years? Would it be worth it for this person to sell now while we are at a peak, or wait it out and hope the rent will still put them in the green? It feels like you are saying he/she should sell it now.
He asked if he should leverage his current assets to buy more property, I am saying he should wait. For sure, I do not recommend he sell any assets right now considering he has 2 properties that have a very very low fixed interest.

Assuming all other things remain constant, rental rates should continue to steadily rise in most areas that did not overbuild multi-unit apartments or have too many investor held properties (ahem nyc, central london). More people are renting longer and delaying buying due to reasons I have listed previously. The problem is buying a long term rental properties right now (socal) you have negative cap rates because values of property have dwarfed values in rent. example: in 2011 one property i bought for 235k rented for 1800/month, now it is 435k and rents for 2,100 a month. compare the slope of the value of the holding vs the increase in rent, if you were to buy now your cap rate would be negative. The good news for me is that BOTH my property appreciated and my rent increased thereby allowing me to gain in both cases.

Whether a person decides to sell now at the "peak" depends on where they are at their financial road. if you have equity in your property, you can leverage it to buy other properties- but then you also multiplied your risk as well. You certainly don't want to leverage yourself at a "peak" market.

And I certainly should not be telling anyone to sell or buy anything without knowing more about their finances and their financial plans or goals, much less do so on a car forum
I get it. I'm not saying he should do what you say, but I wanted to hear and understand the reasons why you would come to a certain conclusion. It makes sense and I appreciate you taking the time to answer questions a grown man like me should be confident in knowing, but isn't.
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      04-11-2017, 03:03 AM   #63
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+1 on Real Estate, REITs, 401K (in my case SEP-IRA), smart biz ventures... these are all good options. Just learn to diversify.... know when to get in and get out... I have investments on all these plus more. I started putting my earned money to work at the age of 25 (in all of the above). Drove the same car for over 16yrs until it completely broke down a couple of years ago. At 45, im finally enjoying some passive income from 5 properties, and a couple of bizs I built...
My bizs pays for my M ( my company car ). Im in position where I can retire very very comfortably before im 50 if I ever choose to.

Concentrate on asset building stuff while you are young. So first step....leave this forum now!
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      04-11-2017, 03:08 AM   #64
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I get it. I'm not saying he should do what you say, but I wanted to hear and understand the reasons why you would come to a certain conclusion. It makes sense and I appreciate you taking the time to answer questions a grown man like me should be confident in knowing, but isn't.
One thing I would start doing if you are interested in RE investing is to get to know your city and the surrounding cities near you. look at why certain areas in each area hold values differently, over time - using sales history on sites like zillow.

with all the information available online these days, you can learn a lot by keeping track of home values for years- once you start getting really familiar with the homes in your area, make sure you save individual homes in files (like personnel files) on your computer and keep track of them through the years, seeing how they hold up with economic changes and demographic changes.

an example of what I mean, while in college I started researching rental properties and started looking at different areas in costa mesa, even going out with agents and seeing listings i could not afford. one of the things i learned is to look at cap rates and figuring out how to judge when a property is going to be profitable renting out. Realize that cap rates published by the agent or the owner of the property are usually bs. You need to be able to determine it on your own.

if you are doing it right, you will see patterns and reasons why values go up, or why certain areas are hit worse then others, you are able make judgments when the time is right to make your own moves. Real estate requires a lot of money, so you need to live below your means and amass a pool. You can also find other ways to finance like family or friends, partners, etc.
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      04-11-2017, 08:28 AM   #65
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Some good info in here. Making me feel a bit guilty about having an M4 right now instead of using that money to invest... My wife and I have just now gotten to a place where we are looking to invest and I have no clue where to start. I already do 12% to 401k + company 6% match and we have a 6 month savings cushion. We're thinking of starting to put into an IRA starting this month (around $500/month).

I would love to put more towards the mortgage/student loans every month, but it seems smarter to get money into accounts that will earn compounded interest as early as possible (IRA?). I've ordered a few books to read over the next couple of weeks and I just finished Financial Peace University (pretty good info, didn't agree with everything though). Don't want to jump into anything too soon until I do some more research, but downgrading the M4 to something like a GTI to have an extra $500/month to play with seems like it might be the smarter move.

Thanks for all the great posts so far!
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      04-11-2017, 10:33 AM   #66
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I think there is a special demographic here of retirees who can still afford an F8X despite leaving the workforce. To me, that is admirable, as I see too many retirees rely on a fixed income that doesn't maintain the lifestyle that they previously had.

As a youngish person looking ahead towards my future and hopefully fruitful retirement, I'd like to know what is the main contributor to your nest egg? 401k? Real Estate? Passive Income streams (if so, what kind?) Stock market? Investments? Good old simple living? A lifetime of saving X amount of dollars a year (if so, how much or what %, whatever you feel comfortable disclosing). Something I haven't thought of or forgot?

Thanks so much for any insight. Spread your wisdom!
Marry well - younger spouse who can work a few years after you retire doesn't hurt! Try to maximize 401(k) contributions - the compounding over the years is magic.
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Greg Lake Oswego, Oregon, USA
2023 M2 Coupe - Brooklyn Grey/Cognac/CF, 6MT; 2020 MB GLE 450
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