SSOTT

[Lups]

NYTimes:



Mueller subpoenas trump org docs about Russia.

WH: Silence.

[Kidscollege$]

Originally Posted by Lups

NYTimes:



Mueller subpoenas trump org docs about Russia.

WH: Silence.

The author of the Trump dossier says that the hookers pissing on his bed did not happen… Nothing from the Democrat party

[Lups]

Originally Posted by GrussGott

I hope someone bids for a property we're selling ... we're thinking it's time to GTFO of property (for us - because we have no long term plans in real estate).

FWIW, we're battening down the financial hatches by getting rid of anything that's illiquid and/or vulnerable to short-term risk.

Markets are very closely mirroring 1987 ... not to mention if you're a believer in "fourth turn" generational/economic cycle theory which states that we're in the middle of the "fourth turn crisis" which will result in major economic recession / depression. I'm a believer as the trending cycles trace back into the 1500s, which is about as far back as the data can take us.

But ignoring all that, it's looking a lot like 1987, so get some pastels, turn up your collar, and jam to The Cure!

Oh god, that means nirvana will take four years to make life good again but this time we have heroin or pills readily available.

I'm counting on Europe on this one, I'm assuming that the dip won't be as deep here as it was in 1990, or 2008.

You're timing it right. I'm looking for new furry friends to invest in already, I'm counting on june-July start for the decline, and the crash will be in the Oct - Feb period.

[Lups]

Originally Posted by Kidscollege$

The author of the Trump dossier says that the hookers pissing on his bed did not happen… Nothing from the Democrat party

Again, he produced raw intelligence, and he says 50-50 on that, 70-90 on the rest.

[GrussGott]

Originally Posted by Lups

Mueller subpoenas trump org docs about Russia.

WH: Silence.

Anybody that thinks that Trump isn't AT A MINIMUM protecting Russia, either doesn't know the facts or is ignoring them. Trump is CLEARLY protecting Russia, and has been for years.

And, at this point, the evidence of wrongdoing has piled up so fast, so high, and so overwhelming that 5 Trump people - including very senior people - have pled out ... That said, whether Trump "collusion" can be proven is a totally different thing ... but then that's only 1 of 5 things Mueller is looking at.

And none of that is currently the most dangerous legal threat to Trump ... the most dangerous is Stormy Daniels.

Trump's organization is ensnared, his personal attorney can't answer "who he was" for his actions, and more women are coming out given there's a Stormy front.

The Stormy Daniels case has the potential to cascade into a category 5 hurricane and will certainly take down Trump's attorney, and certainly damage Trump. Whether it takes him out of office is hard to say just yet, but the probability has gone from remote to possible.

It looks like Stormy is going to continue, uh ... blowing.

[Lups]

Originally Posted by GrussGott

Anybody that thinks that Trump isn't AT A MINIMUM protecting Russia, either doesn't know the facts or is ignoring them. Trump is CLEARLY protecting Russia, and has been for years.

And, at this point, the evidence of wrongdoing has piled up so fast, so high, and so overwhelming that 5 Trump people - including very senior people - have pled out ... That said, whether Trump "collusion" can be proven is a totally different thing ... but then that's only 1 of 5 things Mueller is looking at.

And none of that is currently the most dangerous legal threat to Trump ... the most dangerous is Stormy Daniels.

Trump's organization is ensnared, his personal attorney can't answer "who he was" for his actions, and more women are coming out given there's a Stormy front.

The Stormy Daniels case has the potential to cascade into a category 5 hurricane and will certainly take down Trump's attorney, and certainly damage Trump. Whether it takes him out of office is hard to say just yet, but the probability has gone from remote to possible.

It looks like Stormy is going to continue, uh ... blowing.

Stormy has made a ton of money in the last few weeks that's for sure!

You're right in everything, I don't even know how I'd feel if stormy is the one who will take him down. That would be such an anticlimax

[IK6SPEED]

Originally Posted by GrussGott

My concern as a conservative:



Here's what I think conservative means, belief that:

* Well-regulated free markets (and free trade) are the foundation of global peace and prosperity (I don't just believe that, we have 75 years of data proving it)

* An aggressive, liberal foreign policy is vital to national security; great diplomatic relationships globally based on daily in-person communication are key to preventing aggression and wars

* A strong military standing behind our diplomats. If relationships aren't possible, replace them with force

* Strong States-rights that create a marketplace of governance ideas - includes gun rights, abortion, etc

* Federal infrastructure to enable free markets: includes roads, bridges, power, and communication as well as education (k-c4), healthcare, retirement



Here's what's happening and my worry:

1. Romney won almost all precincts Trump did; that is, Trump only did better in a few key districts
2. Trump is now collapsing Conservative support in 99% of places he and Romney shared
3. Existing Republicans have left themselves no way back from Trump

This means more conservatives will retire, and Democrats are going to win in Nov.

And that's going to be horrible, because they are the party of overreaching big government and wealth destruction.

I despise HRC, but wanted her to win over Trump.

Why?

Since GDP numbers started almost 100 years ago, USA has never gone through 3 Presidential Terms without Recession. As weak as Obama GDP growth was, no doubt 2017-2020 is due and thus a 1 term Presidency, no matter who was elected.

Figured HRC for 1 term and then a real GOP Candidate for 2 Terms in 2021 was better than a 1 Term Trump and 2 Term Democratic future from 2017 to 2028.

[Lups]

Welcome to the ssott (super secret off topic thread) newbie!

We talk shit here all the time, we seldom agree on anything, but we have laws that govern us all:

1. All football conversations are to be written in a form that makes Jets fans more miserable.

2. I am the highest authority in music since I'm the only one who has taste.

3. We argue in good spirits and we tend to keep the commenting we do here outside from the main forum.

Just remember the rule one and two at least and you'll fit in fine.

Oh, and we don't take life very seriously around here.

[GrussGott]

Originally Posted by IK6SPEED

Figured HRC for 1 term and then a real GOP Candidate for 2 Terms in 2021 was better than a 1 Term Trump and 2 Term Democratic future from 2017 to 2028.

Well, in many ways Trump has and will clear out all of the fake and/or ridiculous conservatives like Paul Ryan. Granted he's doing that at the cost of real ones.

If look at the Pennsylvania Special Election, Republicans:

* dumped in $12M, even including the NRC/NRCC which usually doesn't do that
* Tried to run on tax cuts, had to pivot to cultural issues, had to pivot to "he hates America"
* Still lost in a +20 district that hasn't been a risk in two decades

[Lups]

Originally Posted by GrussGott

Well, in many ways Trump has and will clear out all of the fake and/or ridiculous conservatives like Paul Ryan. Granted he's doing that at the cost of real ones.

If look at the Pennsylvania Special Election, Republicans:

* dumped in $12M, even including the NRC/NRCC which usually doesn't do that
* Tried to run on tax cuts, had to pivot to cultural issues, had to pivot to "he hates America"
* Still lost in a +20 district that hasn't been a risk in two decades

That's the thing that confuses me the most. Are we really that fucking stupid these days that we have no other option for growth of character but to hit a collective rock bottom every time? Especially in politics, can't some strategist for once say to the party leaders on every fucking side that stalling a country with tea party, or super progressives or by playing up the differences between people is not very smart? Everything stalls, and all needed such as infrastructure becomes a shit show!

I was reading about the collapse of Rome last night since I was busy avoiding the house project again. It was funny to see how much of it I had forgotten. The whole nice arch from Romulus to Romulus Augustus (that's it in Finnish anyway), the combination of corruption, diseases, mass movements, crumbling infrastructure and led in the water killed an empire we still talk about way more than we talk about the British imperium or Russia. You brought up crashes and I honestly fear how USA can survive this, when you're basically facing the whole same load of shit as the Romans did.

[GrussGott]

Originally Posted by Lups

You brought up crashes and I honestly fear how USA can survive this, when you're basically facing the whole same load of shit as the Romans did.

I don't know either ... In generational cycle theory, there are 4 types of generations (20 year spans) that repeat over and over and they have unique characteristics:

• Hero generations are usually raised by protective parents. Heroes come of age during a time of great crisis, resolve that crisis, which defines the rest of their lives and become institutionally powerful in midlife
• Artists are the children of heroes, born before and during the crisis but not old enough to be an active part of the solution. They're highly protected during childhood, risk-averse young adults, see conformity as the best path to success.
• Prophet generations experience childhood in a period of post-crisis affluence. Having not seen a real crisis, they often create cultural upheaval during their young adult years. In mid-life they become moralistic, values-obsessed, and as they age, lay the groundwork for the next crisis.
• Nomads are children during the “Awakening” periods of cultural chaos. Unlike the overly indulged and protected Prophets, Nomads go through childhood with minimal supervision and guidance and distrust institutions.

These generations drive cycles of crisis, resolution, and prosperity:



Basically right now we're halfway through the 4th turning: crisis. It's just that the major focus of the crisis hasn't happened, like WWIII or whatever. But we're getting closer ... maybe world war with China, Russia and Iran?

These cycles repeat back to at least 1588 (if you believe it):

[Lups]

Gg I'll comment in the morning, it's one am, so I have to actually work for a few hours because it has been so good for my projects to spend the last month and a half avoiding this damn house project and I've neglected just about everything else too to keep busy with avoiding. I do have a well fixed washing machine I threw away after fixing it and all laundry in the house is folded in perfection now.

If any of you needs tips on how not to avoid a family mutiny, I'm a good source for information. I just got an email from the hubby that I better have the kitchen designed by morning so I guess they're now enjoying my defeat.

[Kidscollege$]

Originally Posted by GrussGott

Well, in many ways Trump has and will clear out all of the fake and/or ridiculous conservatives like Paul Ryan. Granted he's doing that at the cost of real ones.

If look at the Pennsylvania Special Election, Republicans:

* dumped in $12M, even including the NRC/NRCC which usually doesn't do that
* Tried to run on tax cuts, had to pivot to cultural issues, had to pivot to "he hates America"
* Still lost in a +20 district that hasn't been a risk in two decades

Not sure? But $12 million was spent on advertising 7.4 RNC and 4.4 DNC...was this the number? Or am I missing a number?

[IK6SPEED]

GrussGott

https://www.bloomberg.com//news/arti...=244+293670920

[GrussGott]

Originally Posted by Kidscollege$

Not sure? But $12 million was spent on advertising 7.4 RNC and 4.4 DNC...was this the number? Or am I missing a number?

[GrussGott]

Originally Posted by IK6SPEED

GrussGott

[url]https://www.bloomberg.com//news/articles/2018-03-15/looking-like-bubble-fang-rally-outpacing-heyday-of-tech-frenzy

Listen bro, I'm in the valley and it's all rainbows here man.
(that's actually a picture from 20 min ago!)

[Arcades]

I'm tempted to check out Stormy videos now...

You know... er for research.

[Lups]

Originally Posted by Arcades

I'm tempted to check out Stormy videos now...

You know... er for research.

Me too, but I've always been a freak show!

7 hours later and I have the kitchen designed! Now an hour of sleep, then I have to do the most painful part of this house project:

I have to figure out if I an do a full renovation project without a car, or has the damn hubby finally figured out a way to get me to buy one.

[Arcades]

Originally Posted by Lups

Me too, but I've always been a freak show!

7 hours later and I have the kitchen designed! Now an hour of sleep, then I have to do the most painful part of this house project:

I have to figure out if I an do a full renovation project without a car, or has the damn hubby finally figured out a way to get me to buy one.

I always wondered. Is it more expensive to redo your house or to just get you a freaken car already.

[Lups]

Originally Posted by Arcades

I always wondered. Is it more expensive to redo your house or to just get you a freaken car already.

I have to buy the house too first lol

At times I consider contacting Peters owner and buying him back. I've reached a new level of pathetic.

[Arcades]

Originally Posted by Lups

I have to buy the house too first lol

At times I consider contacting Peters owner and buying him back. I've reached a new level of pathetic.

Do it...

[Lups]

Originally Posted by Arcades

Do it...

That's the pathetic part: Hubby suggested tracking it down and buying it back as my 35th birthday present last summer but i didn't want it after a man had driven it for a year and a half.

I knew it was going to be a disaster when I sold him but then I thought I'd have to do it since my life is more M3 than a four anyway.

This is not our first rodeo on this topic. After I sold Ronald in 2007, I never replaced it until my middle life crisis with Peter. Then at some point he got sick of me, bought an Audi A4 for the simple reason of me being unable to love it so it could be replaced but then by a freakish chain of events he ended up buying a VW Passat and i named that one, and ten years later, Keiju Adolf Bastugatan is still with us, a miracle since to drive a mile, I usually spend a day or two under his hood.

The first time I drove him, our eldest let the locked gate scratch the hood, and I thought it was the first pretty thing on the car so I refused to fix it. Five years ago, I taught my friends kids to drive with it so it's basically missing the only reason he bought it, the trunk since the lock stopped working but I refuse to fix it since it's hilarious... I can't replace all the memories so the car stays, though nobody drives it. Hubby doesn't drive at all so his only hope is to get me to buy one again.

Now you might understand why we have the family rule about me naming stuff and why the spouse hated Peter from the second he saw him and why he begged me not to sell him when we moved.