Where will early model year M4 values be in 2019?

cactusjack · 11-01-2018, 08:34 AM

It seems that some 2015 M4s are already in the high 30s. What do you guys think M4 values will be like in January of 2019? Because there may be more cars coming off of lease and losing their warranties.

Thescout13 · 11-01-2018, 08:59 AM

Doubt it will drop below the 30s for the next year or so for a 2015 if the E90/2 is any indication

cactusjack · 11-01-2018, 10:06 AM

im expecting another 2-3k drop within the next 6 months as usual. maybe even 5 because of its been 4 years since the 2015

gatorfast · 11-01-2018, 10:15 AM

OP you should also ask what the winning lottery numbers will be in Jan 2019

NCThreePedals · 11-01-2018, 10:42 AM

The ones dipping in the high 30s are base models that are either miled up and/or have an accident on record
If you follow closed sales, many nicely equipped 2015s are still selling in the mid to high 40s

Sure there are deals to be had just shop carefully!

mkoesel · 11-01-2018, 10:44 AM

Heh, KBB says my car is worth about $25k. I'd love to get that for it when I go to trade it in in a couple weeks.

cactusjack · 11-01-2018, 12:25 PM

how many miles are on yours?

mkoesel · 11-01-2018, 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cactusjack

how many miles are on yours?

97k

cactusjack · 11-01-2018, 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mkoesel

97k

thank you for actually driving your car hahah, keep climbing brotha

Alpine300zhp · 11-02-2018, 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mkoesel

Heh, KBB says my car is worth about $25k. I'd love to get that for it when I go to trade it in in a couple weeks.

Yeah. I turned mine in back in June and it had 53k on it. It was worth, at best, 34k. Your are correct to assume yours won't fetch anywhere near 25k.

cotmfk · 11-02-2018, 12:22 PM

Values in 2019 will be lower than they were in 2018. Definitely still on the depreciation curve. But that should surprise no one.

CosmosMpower · 11-02-2018, 01:29 PM

Mid to high 30's for 2015 with 30-40k miles would be my guess

High Octane · 11-02-2018, 06:53 PM

Weird. I'd say most, if not all M3's and M4's in the Chicago area I've seen that are below 50k miles are still selling for mid 40's. Maybe in the areas like So-Cal / Florida where there are much more, the prices have really slid down?

About 2 months back I checked the dealer trade in value of my car through KBB, and it was still at $40k. And I've got 39k miles on my 2015. No executive package nor competition package.

SakhirM4 · 11-02-2018, 07:04 PM

2015 M4s are selling for $47-49K in Austin, TX right now.

Flacht3 · 11-02-2018, 07:35 PM

Personally I don't see them dropping below low 30s in 2019 other than rare examples (super high mileage, accidents, etc.).

Once you hit that number it's a whole new pool of buyers that could never afford these cars previously but can now make the jump and that will add a new market for demand and keep pricing from dropping much lower.

Hell for low 30s I may buy one as a daily driver vs. paying the same price for a newer A3, A4, etc. as my daily.

Bigsean714 · 11-04-2018, 02:35 AM

Just bought a 2015 YMB M4 with 26k miles, $81K MSRP no accidents & 1 owner for $48,000. I'm in SoCal. Aiming to sell the car in 4 years with around 55k miles for probably $30,000-32,000. I'm looking at the E92 for a rough estimate on what it'll be worth! It all depends on the g80/g82 to see what the depreciation will look like down the road.

Mapo · 11-04-2018, 08:00 AM

Dealership in PA offered me $49k for 2016 M4 with 14k miles on it ( I was in for an oil change n have no interest in a trade in as I own it ,no lease no loan and my DD until winter hits. My commute to work is 10 miles on all back roads so little to no road rash.

cactusjack · 11-18-2018, 09:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gatorfast

OP you should also ask what the winning lottery numbers will be in Jan 2019

To be quite honest I dont think its THAT dumb of a question to ask. just wanted some predictions

IK6SPEED · 11-18-2018, 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cactusjack

To be quite honest I dont think its THAT dumb of a question to ask. just wanted some predictions

https://www.autotrader.com/cars-for-...ckType=listing

mjposner · 11-19-2018, 06:33 AM

I just purchased a 2016 repo for 49.9k. F83, metalic white, full sakhir leather, exec pack, safety pack, adaptive suspension, 19" wheels, 90k msrp. Only had 26k miles, 14 months of factory warranty left. M4s in the 2015-16 age are all in the 40s

Lots of used M4s at one dealer here: https://www.offleaseonly.com/used-bmw-m4.htm

cactusjack · 11-20-2018, 08:05 PM

The car you listed is no longer for sale? What was it?

Moneygrowsontrees · 11-22-2018, 07:52 PM

M4's in the 30's ? That be rare, not normal at all.
Mid 40's low 50's all day

11-01-2018, 08:34 AM	#1
cactusjack Banned 371 Rep 185 Posts Drives: 2008 Saturn Outlook Join Date: Oct 2018 Location: Central Jersey iTrader: (0)	Where will early model year M4 values be in 2019? It seems that some 2015 M4s are already in the high 30s. What do you guys think M4 values will be like in January of 2019? Because there may be more cars coming off of lease and losing their warranties.
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11-01-2018, 08:59 AM	#2
Thescout13 Brigadier General 4944 Rep 4,976 Posts Drives: '20 F80 M3CS, %E2%80%9818 GT3 Join Date: Nov 2013 Location: California iTrader: (0)	Doubt it will drop below the 30s for the next year or so for a 2015 if the E90/2 is any indication __________________ Wife's Car: 2020 X4M Competition, Alpine White on Black Alcantara and Biege Current Car: 2018 F80 M3CS, SMB, DCT, ZEC, MPE Recently Departed: 2020 F87 M2C, LBB, ZEC, 6MT (Euro Delivery Aug. 29, 2019, totaled by an idiot in a Camry who then ran from the scene) Wife's Prior Car: 2018 F80 M3, Yas Marina Blue, DCT, Black 19s, Carbon Structure Anthracite Cloth/Leather Combination, Driving Assistance Package (Euro Delivery Oct. 9, 2017)
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11-01-2018, 10:06 AM	#3
cactusjack Banned 371 Rep 185 Posts Drives: 2008 Saturn Outlook Join Date: Oct 2018 Location: Central Jersey iTrader: (0)	im expecting another 2-3k drop within the next 6 months as usual. maybe even 5 because of its been 4 years since the 2015
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11-01-2018, 10:15 AM	#4
gatorfast Major General 4995 Rep 6,862 Posts Drives: 718 Cayman Join Date: Jan 2008 Location: SoFla iTrader: (4)	OP you should also ask what the winning lottery numbers will be in Jan 2019
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11-01-2018, 10:42 AM	#5
NCThreePedals First Lieutenant 227 Rep 325 Posts Drives: 981 GT4/Audi Q8/F15 Diesel Join Date: Dec 2017 Location: St Pete, FL iTrader: (0)	The ones dipping in the high 30s are base models that are either miled up and/or have an accident on record If you follow closed sales, many nicely equipped 2015s are still selling in the mid to high 40s Sure there are deals to be had just shop carefully!
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11-01-2018, 10:44 AM	#6
mkoesel Moderator 7512 Rep 19,368 Posts Drives: No BMW for now Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: Canton, MI iTrader: (1)	Heh, KBB says my car is worth about $25k. I'd love to get that for it when I go to trade it in in a couple weeks.
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11-01-2018, 12:25 PM	#7
cactusjack Banned 371 Rep 185 Posts Drives: 2008 Saturn Outlook Join Date: Oct 2018 Location: Central Jersey iTrader: (0)	how many miles are on yours?
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11-02-2018, 12:22 PM	#11
cotmfk Major General 2048 Rep 6,110 Posts Drives: M3 Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Somewhere between DC and FL iTrader: (12)	Values in 2019 will be lower than they were in 2018. Definitely still on the depreciation curve. But that should surprise no one. __________________ When you say impact instead of affect/effect, you are communicating that you don't understand the difference between the two words, and are too lazy to learn.
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11-02-2018, 01:29 PM	#12
CosmosMpower Brigadier General 2051 Rep 3,714 Posts Drives: F87c, GT3, MK7 GTI Join Date: Apr 2011 Location: Frisco, TX iTrader: (1)	Mid to high 30's for 2015 with 30-40k miles would be my guess
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11-02-2018, 06:53 PM	#13
High Octane First Lieutenant 311 Rep 333 Posts Drives: '24 BMW M4 Join Date: Sep 2017 Location: Chicago area iTrader: (0)	Weird. I'd say most, if not all M3's and M4's in the Chicago area I've seen that are below 50k miles are still selling for mid 40's. Maybe in the areas like So-Cal / Florida where there are much more, the prices have really slid down? About 2 months back I checked the dealer trade in value of my car through KBB, and it was still at $40k. And I've got 39k miles on my 2015. No executive package nor competition package.
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11-02-2018, 07:04 PM	#14
SakhirM4 Major General 10785 Rep 8,852 Posts Drives: '15 SO M4/'20 Z4 M40i Join Date: Jul 2014 Location: Austin, TX iTrader: (0) Garage List 2020 BMW Z4 M40i [10.00] 2015 BMW M4 [8.76]	2015 M4s are selling for $47-49K in Austin, TX right now. __________________ Tejas Chapter, BMW CCA, mem #23915, President 27 years, www.tejaschapter.org
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11-02-2018, 07:35 PM	#15
Flacht3 Not Enough Garage Space 1138 Rep 721 Posts Drives: STO /765LTS/ Macan Join Date: May 2016 Location: Yay Area iTrader: (0)	Personally I don't see them dropping below low 30s in 2019 other than rare examples (super high mileage, accidents, etc.). Once you hit that number it's a whole new pool of buyers that could never afford these cars previously but can now make the jump and that will add a new market for demand and keep pricing from dropping much lower. Hell for low 30s I may buy one as a daily driver vs. paying the same price for a newer A3, A4, etc. as my daily. __________________
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11-04-2018, 02:35 AM	#16
Bigsean714 Second Lieutenant 53 Rep 204 Posts Drives: 535i Join Date: Mar 2017 Location: San Diego iTrader: (0) Garage List 2022 bmw m3 [0.00]	Just bought a 2015 YMB M4 with 26k miles, $81K MSRP no accidents & 1 owner for $48,000. I'm in SoCal. Aiming to sell the car in 4 years with around 55k miles for probably $30,000-32,000. I'm looking at the E92 for a rough estimate on what it'll be worth! It all depends on the g80/g82 to see what the depreciation will look like down the road.
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11-04-2018, 08:00 AM	#17
Mapo New Member 9 Rep 26 Posts Drives: M4 Join Date: Nov 2016 Location: Audubon,pa iTrader: (0)	Dealership in PA offered me $49k for 2016 M4 with 14k miles on it ( I was in for an oil change n have no interest in a trade in as I own it ,no lease no loan and my DD until winter hits. My commute to work is 10 miles on all back roads so little to no road rash.
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11-19-2018, 06:33 AM	#20
mjposner Brigadier General 898 Rep 3,071 Posts Drives: 2020 Z4 40i Join Date: Mar 2011 Location: Southwest Florida iTrader: (3)	I just purchased a 2016 repo for 49.9k. F83, metalic white, full sakhir leather, exec pack, safety pack, adaptive suspension, 19" wheels, 90k msrp. Only had 26k miles, 14 months of factory warranty left. M4s in the 2015-16 age are all in the 40s Lots of used M4s at one dealer here: https://www.offleaseonly.com/used-bmw-m4.htm __________________ Previous BMW: 16 M4, 13 M6; 14 M235i, 12 BMW M3; 11 BMW M3; 08 BMW M3; 08 BMW Z4M; 04 X3; 02 M3 Convertible; 02 M3; 00 M Roadster; 94 325 convertible; 92 325i Convertible; and 85 635csi My Car Photo Blog: http://carfisheye.blogspot.com/
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11-20-2018, 08:05 PM	#21
cactusjack Banned 371 Rep 185 Posts Drives: 2008 Saturn Outlook Join Date: Oct 2018 Location: Central Jersey iTrader: (0)	The car you listed is no longer for sale? What was it?
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11-22-2018, 07:52 PM	#22
Moneygrowsontrees Private First Class 56 Rep 121 Posts Drives: F80 Join Date: Sep 2018 Location: Tri-State area iTrader: (0)	M4's in the 30's ? That be rare, not normal at all. Mid 40's low 50's all day
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